GfE.
The world in perspective / Risk atlas
UPDATING THE FEEDSSOURCES. CONTEXT. YOUR PERSPECTIVE.
THE GEOPOLITICS & FINANCIAL STRESS ATLAS

Explore the world.
Understand the stakes.

Choose a region. Follow the tensions. See the financial backdrop.

Auto-checks every 5 minutes while this page is open Saved news snapshot · Oct 16, 11:54 a.m. ET
EXPLORE BY REGION72-HOUR NEWS WINDOW
Lower pressure Watch Elevated Intense Limited data

Select a marker or a region below. Colour shows tension-related news coverage, not a forecast. Markers are indicative.

Regional signals use the saved feed dated Oct 16, 11:54 a.m. ET. Refresh to check for newer reporting.

WHAT IS DRIVING THE COVERAGE?

Global tensions, explained.

73 dated stories · 72 hours
POTENTIAL ECONOMIC TRANSMISSION

Conflict & security

Headlines mentioning conflict, attacks or military escalation.

Why it can matter
Disruption to production, infrastructure and cross-border activity.

A possible channel to investigate, not a measured market effect.
OPEN THE REPORTING BEHIND THIS SIGNAL
THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL BACKDROP

Are markets under stress?

OFR source & methodology

This worldwide indicator stays the same when you change region. It measures financial stress; it does not assign a financial risk score to individual regions.

Below-average financial stress
-2.195OFR Financial Stress Index

Financial stress is at or below its historical average. Geopolitical tensions can still be significant.

Observation date
Oct 14, 2026
Change from previous observation
-0.056 points
Release frequency
Daily · two-business-day publication lag
Checking the official release… · fetched Oct 16, 11:47 a.m. ET
Daily financial stress OFR FSI points

Dashed line: historical average (0)

Sep 3, 2026Oct 14, 2026
View chart data
Official daily readings in the selected period
Observation dateOFR FSI
Oct 14, 2026-2.195
Oct 13, 2026-2.139
Oct 12, 2026-2.154
Oct 9, 2026-2.122
Oct 8, 2026-1.999
Oct 7, 2026-1.929
Oct 6, 2026-2.152
Oct 5, 2026-2.109
Oct 2, 2026-2.088
Oct 1, 2026-2.036
Sep 30, 2026-2.349
Sep 29, 2026-2.244
Sep 28, 2026-2.222
Sep 25, 2026-2.630
Sep 24, 2026-2.398
Sep 23, 2026-2.663
Sep 22, 2026-2.773
Sep 21, 2026-2.727
Sep 18, 2026-2.734
Sep 17, 2026-2.593
Sep 16, 2026-2.411
Sep 15, 2026-2.244
Sep 14, 2026-2.226
Sep 11, 2026-2.458
Sep 10, 2026-2.289
Sep 9, 2026-2.411
Sep 8, 2026-2.537
Sep 7, 2026-2.874
Sep 4, 2026-2.791
Sep 3, 2026-2.725
Credit-0.971contribution to the index

The contribution from corporate borrowing spreads. Higher readings can reflect greater concern about borrowers.

Positive values add above-average stress; negative values offset it. Components are contributions, not separate probability scores.

Equity valuations-0.516contribution to the index

The contribution from stock-market valuations, capturing changes in investors’ appetite for risk.

Positive values add above-average stress; negative values offset it. Components are contributions, not separate probability scores.

Funding-0.181contribution to the index

The contribution from financing conditions. Stress can make it harder for financial institutions to obtain funds.

Positive values add above-average stress; negative values offset it. Components are contributions, not separate probability scores.

Safe assets-0.288contribution to the index

The contribution from assets investors use as a refuge when uncertainty increases.

Positive values add above-average stress; negative values offset it. Components are contributions, not separate probability scores.

Volatility-0.239contribution to the index

The contribution from price uncertainty across several financial markets.

Positive values add above-average stress; negative values offset it. Components are contributions, not separate probability scores.

Source: Office of Financial Research, “OFR Financial Stress Index.” Values may be revised. Independent presentation; no affiliation or endorsement.

Understand the measures and their limits

Regional news pressure

The percentage of unique, dated stories in the 72 hours ending at the feed’s displayed fetch time whose headline or short excerpt matches a tension keyword. Categories cover conflict, trade restrictions, energy or shipping disruption, and cyber or infrastructure threats. A story can match several categories; it counts once in the overall percentage.

A reading requires at least 8 stories from 3 publishers. Below that threshold, the map shows limited coverage. Colour bands are 0–24% lower pressure, 25–49% watch, 50–74% elevated and 75–100% intense. These are descriptive coverage bands, not statistically calibrated risk levels. Undated and older reporting is excluded. Publisher selection, duplicated reporting across outlets, tagging errors and incomplete coverage can influence the result.

Financial stress

The official OFR index combines 33 financial-market variables into a global measure. Zero corresponds to the historical average; positive readings indicate above-average stress, and negative readings below-average stress. The five component values contribute to the total; rounding can create small differences. The figures are published daily with a two-business-day lag and may be revised.

Financial readings older than 7 calendar days are marked out of date. A failed refresh preserves the dated saved release. Neither indicator estimates the probability of conflict, predicts investment returns, or tells you whether an investment is safe. This dashboard is for learning and monitoring, not investment advice.

THE REPORTING BEHIND THE SIGNALS

World briefing.

82 results
Energy
Middle East 01

AAl Jazeera English
Original headline
Trade
Europe · Americas 02

FFrance 24
Original headline
Diplomacy
Europe · Asia-Pacific 03

DDW Top Stories
Original headline
Diplomacy
Asia-Pacific 04

DDefense News
Original headline
Energy
Americas · Middle East 05

TThe Guardian US
Original headline
Defense
Europe 06

DDefense News
Original headline
Diplomacy
Europe 07

DDW Top Stories
Original headline
Defense
Europe · Americas 08

BBBC World
Original headline
Defense
Americas 09

TThe Guardian US
Original headline
Diplomacy
Europe · Americas 10

EEuronews
Original headline
Defense
Middle East 11

AAl Jazeera English
Original headline
Technology
Americas 12

DDefense News
Original headline
Defense
Africa 13

AAl Jazeera English
Original headline
Diplomacy
Europe 14

EEuronews
Original headline
Diplomacy
Asia-Pacific 15

NNPR World
Original headline
Defense
Europe · Americas 16

DDW Top Stories
Original headline
Trade
Europe · Africa 17

AAl Jazeera English
Original headline
Defense
Africa 18

FFrance 24
Original headline
18 of 82 stories
Saved headlines : Oct 16, 11:54 a.m. (ET)Indicative keyword tagging · Original publisher headlines
THE ESSENTIALS

Don’t let an unfamiliar word stop a good read.

Sanctions, deterrence, multilateralism… Find the concepts that bring a story into focus.